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В выигрыше только центр

Автор: tambovlip6848
Начавшаяся в информационном пространстве полемика относительно возможного объединения Тамбовской и Липецкой областей полезна. Уже только по той причине, что позволяет сопоставить современный уровень развития соседних регионов. И это сопоставление основных социально-экономических показателей явно не в пользу Тамбовщины.

Предполагать, что Липецк, а точнее НЛМК, подобно буксиру вытащит нашу область из дотационной трясины, было бы наивно. «Боливар не вынесет двоих». Обретение бедной «восточной провинции» не вызовет энтузиазма и у липецкого руководства, для которого нагрузка на социальные программы возрастет как минимум вдвое. Тамбовские черноземы не станут объектом инвестиций, так как прибыли в агробизнесе сегодня нет. Соседи еще со своим сельским хозяйством не разобрались, а руководители агрохолдингов там гибнут с пугающей регулярностью. Что до продовольственного рынка, то он уже монополизировал липецкими производителями.

Присоединению Тамбовской области к Липецкой не приведет к увеличению зарплат работающих и улучшению уровня жизни тамбовцев. Надо быть реалистами и понимать, что чудо не случится, и жить в объединенной области мы лучше не станем. Единственное, о чем можно говорить вполне определенно в случае реализации такого сценария, это о гибели местной политической элиты, которая будет лишена финансовых потоков в виде трансфертов из федерального центра. Все последние годы областная власть только и делает, что клянчит подачки из центра, взамен дутой политической лояльности и видимой социальной стабильности. До половины этих средств идет на содержание местных чиновников, а оставшаяся часть «размазывается» тонким слоем в виде т. н. решений социальных программ. И не важно, что стоимость плитки, уложенной на Набережной в восемь раз дороже, но она есть. Так вот, федеральных дотаций (а зачем, есть же Липецк) местные олигархи, в случае объединения, лишатся, а без денег – какая власть?

Если кто и выиграет от возможного укрупнения, то это Кремль. Нет Тамбовской области, нет и докуки регулярных трансфертов, как впрочем, и назойливых ходатаев, просящих эти деньги. Все это укладывается в стратегию федерального центра, который последовательно сбрасывает с себя наиболее хлопотные и затратные сферы, передавая их на региональный уровень.

Будем реалистами, никакой богатый сосед нас не спасет. Помочь мы можем себе только сами. Будущее области – это развитие реального сектора, грамотный и эффективный менеджмент, избранное и ответственное перед населением руководство. И еще одно условие, возможно главное, – экономически активное и граждански инициативное население. Поэтому судьба области зависит только от нас с вами.

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